#Paper Trading
2 posts · All tags
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A Crypto Trend Strategy Backtested at 240x Lost 10.7% in 2.5 Days of Paper Trading: Survivorship Bias in the Coin List
A trend strategy that backtested at 240x lost 10.7% in 2.5 days live; a hindsight-picked coin list had inflated it, and with point-in-time rankings, 10x in a year only happened from a bull-market start.
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Profitable in Simulation, Losing Live: An Honest Dry Run and Testing an AI Trading Model's Hit Rate
I made an always-profitable dry run pay gas and take rejections; a 24-hour test then found no directional edge in the AI model, so I shut the project down under a preset rule.